Re: Old-Timers Game (GAME THREAD)
My thoughts are still:
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Wait...Tokyo "cleared" Shorty and Eskimo?
That's a huge village plus for Eskimo IMO. Sure, it's possible that the wolves realized that Tokyo's original claim was BS. But there's more to it. They let him live two more days and finally ate him after traz already psyched them out (LOL shellshock). How likely is it that the wolves would FPS on night 4 -- down 2 or 3 wolves and all seers remaining -- killing someone who they know CAN'T be seer just on the odd chance that it could clear Eskimo later on? I doubt it.
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Eskimo pretty much HAS to be a villager after that eat. Consider this:
Known wolf gang...
Jared
HBE
Boiler
Mets
Spook
? (IY, Patton, Chuck, VR, Eskimo)
Jared, HBE, and Boiler were dead by the time Tokyo was eaten. The question is...
Would a team of Mets/Spook/[Eskimo] eat Tokyo solely to clear Eskimo (and have no chance of getting the real seer with 3 wolves gone and two seers still out there on n4) -- or is it more likely that a team of Mets/Spook/[?] ate Tokyo because they thought he was actually a REAL seer and didn't want to get pwned by his early trickery?
I would say scenario 2 is a 97% favorite.
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