Re: 200nl - Bottom Set = EZ Fold?
By my (probably wrong) maths we are getting just over 2 to 1 stack odds on the shove.
Shove is $136
Final Pot $418 - $136 = $282
$282:$136 = ~ 2 to 1
That means we are getting correct odds to draw to the FH even if villain has straight. Obviously we are toast to QQ or JJ but I'd pay off. This is AA/KK, KQ or some other junk often enough to play for stacks here.
EDIT: Of course that is only the odds if villain calls the shove. If he will fold these hands that changes things slightly so against a tight player there is a reasonable arguement for finding a fold. However, against a "semi-donk" I'm not sure I could bring myself to fold this.
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