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Old 06-25-2007, 12:10 AM
maltaille maltaille is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 71
Default Re: $1/2 NL Live, Big Hand + Big Draw on Turn

In this specific situation, I like a turn call more than a push (though I'd love to find a way to get it all in on that flop). Given the action and his stack size (and the limit), you've got almost no fold equity, and you're likely to get paid off if you hit regardless of the river, so if you push, you're just paying more now for the same potential return. If this is the case, calling has to be higher EV than pushing (doing a quick and dirty EV calc shows this is the case even if you discount his payoff when you hit to an additional $50. It also shows that with no fold equity pushing has a negative EV).
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