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Old 06-17-2007, 01:49 AM
Steem_Machine Steem_Machine is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: \"Mein Fuhrer, I Can Walk!\"
Posts: 134
Default Re: $10/$20 live and deep

It's very difficult to properly analyze spots like these without any categorization of the opponent or a dynamic between the two of you, but I'll give you my take.

You have two lines here. One is folding, the other is calling with the intention of folding to a river bet.

1. The case for Folding- He limp called under the gun, so I'd have to assume a large part of his range is a small pair or suited connectors. 66 makes sense. So does j10 suited. He could be on a diamond draw, but the size of his turn bet looks like he's trying to get it in on the river (plus you're an unknown that looks to have an overpair).

2. The case for calling - The biggest case I can see for calling here is that I don't think he will fire the river again as a bluff, so if he does bet the river, you can be confident you are behind.

That being said, against a relative unknown with no real read, I fold.
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