Re: Preflop with a poster. Theory and Practice
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isolating from the HJ with 56o is just horrible. you're not even +EV vs a random junk hand and you're giving up a ton of equity to the players behind you and the guy in the BB.
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So when I open raise UTG or in the HJ I pick up the pot without a flop with 21% probability.
On top of that I win the pot with a flop but without a SD with 22% probability.
Now I dont know how often it will happen with a poster but that is a lot of money to be made if you pick up 2.5 SBs without a flop and 3.5-5.5 SBs without a SD.
Say those probs are only around 15% and 15%. Then the immediate profit from stealing the pot is
0.15*2.5 + 0.15*4.5 = 1SB
I need to screw up a lot postflop the times I dont pick up the pot to loose that (average) SB.
I am not saying the 65o raise was good. But since a lot of our winnings comes from picking up pots without SDs the extra SB from the poster really matters a lot.
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