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Old 06-13-2007, 09:39 AM
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Default Re: weird preflop spot with short stack, 2500 NL

[ QUOTE ]
Meh, a shove with 7k might work live but probably won't.
...

Live players are far more straightforward and nobody is trying to trap with AA.

[/ QUOTE ]


The pot's 6300 which is what we've got behind (unsure whether the 7k is before or after we've posted). If part two of the quote is correct, then it doesn't matter whether part one is also true. I mean, if we shove here, it's on the understanding that HJ has to fold most of his raising range and what he doesn't fold, he has to isolate, so SB has to fold almost all of his CC-ing range. If HJ folds, SB then calls with anything he's already called with. We're never going to fold out both but with so much in the pot and the squeeze effect meaning that while we always get one call, we very rarely get two, this is +EV. Difficult to tell whether it's sufficiently +EV to be worth the risk that we bust very often here, but I'd imagine that we can't rely on more +EV spots coming up with an M of 3 if we fold.

The only thing that bothers me IF we discount SB slowplaying is that HJ is presumably ready to call a BB resteal here when he makes the raise.
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