Re: Prove Poker is a Skill Game?
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It is easy to show statistically that moderately skilled players are better than average players. What's harder to show is that there is much scope for skill beyond the moderately good point. In other words, there are clear consistent winners in low-stakes on-line poker, but the number of repeat winners at the World Series of Poker is only slightly more than would be expected if the game were completely random.
That doesn't mean there is no difference between a pretty good player and a world champion, only that it's hard to demonstrate convincingly from the available data. Most tournaments don't keep consistent records of all entrants, and cash games keep no records at all.
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Were you familiar with the gutshot case? Do you know why they weren't able to produce data showing that the game is based on skill? Or was that not the point?
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