Re: 66 SB Defense/River bluff 10/20 Motor City
What was your reason to go for a river c/r, rather than just a straight-forward b/f?
I imagine it's because of your image, but I almost never expect even a solid tag to fold a better hand here - certainly less often than 22%** of the time.
**22% of the time being how often he must fold to break even with this play. You are risking 2BB to win 9BB, and you will typically only win this hand if he folds. 2/9 = 1:4.5 ~ 0.22. Note that he will have TT+,KQ,AQ more often than 22% of the time.
|