Re: Live $1/$2 NL: Fold AKo Pre-Flop, OOP After Aggressive Betting?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't like being up against one pocket pair holding ak, let alone potentially 3.
[/ QUOTE ]
Why?
Against 3 players you have like 30% equity and are putting in 25% of the money...
[/ QUOTE ]
This implies you can play perfectly on each street. In reality you will lose more finding out your TPTK is no good after the flop than you will make when it is good.
[/ QUOTE ]
I'm not sure we are at 30% equity. It took a while (~2 hours), but I ran this through Poker Stove (enumerating all ~4 trillion outcomes):
[ QUOTE ]
3,932,461,032,192 games 7362.476 secs 534,122,085 games/sec
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 26.335% 26.19% 00.15% 1029826719504 5795329032.00 { AKo }
Hand 1: 24.555% 24.23% 00.32% 952959004344 12653990208.00 { 22+ }
Hand 2: 24.555% 24.23% 00.32% 952959004344 12653990208.00 { 22+ }
Hand 3: 24.555% 24.23% 00.32% 952959004344 12653990208.00 { 22+ }
[/ QUOTE ]
So, it's a very very slight margin. And this is assuming 3 pocket pairs from 22-AA. The times you push this margin and are against AA or KK, you are really in bad shape, right?
|