Re: a sexy $100nl c/r 4bet AI
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This isn't terrible, villain will show up with air, lower diamonds, and a ton of hands we're flipping against. Probably slightly +EV, and at worst slightly -EV.
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I challenge you to find any realistic range that this is +EV against. This probably won't be massively -EV, but it is -EV and it's not even close to being +EV even against the most optimistic range. This play is 100% for FE, but how much does hero have - given the history here?
Everybody realizes the lack of real equity here, right?
Hero is 51% against 33-66. 49% to 88-99. 43% to TT. He's 46% against AKo. 40% against AK with the Ad. 40% against JJ-QQ. 35% to KK. 27/30 to AA with/without a diamond. Of course he's also like 20% equity against Axs of diamonds.
There is literally just about no real hand hero has any equity edge over besides worse bare flush draws. That 1% edge over small pocket pairs is lost to rake.
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