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Old 06-09-2007, 07:17 PM
sylar sylar is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: ***yankees offseason thread*** oh and Gd River Ave Blues
Posts: 744
Default Re: Bet I made with a yankees fan today

some people swear by ELO, but its numbers are rather wild sometimes. for example, Pecota gives 4% chance of Yankees winning AL East while ELO gives 15%!!!

From what I understand, -200 is the fair price for this bet if ELO is right, but the difference between 4% and 15% is so huge, i tend to think ELO is on crack. (even though i am rooting for the yankees)
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