Re: Playing forever without a downswing? Is it possible?
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...but im theory can you play at a small enough limit where your edge is so great to cover any noticeable varience?
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If you only get your money in when the opponents are drawing dead then a) they wont pay you that much and b) this happens very rarely. Only playing past the flop with the unbeatable nuts will be a losing strategy as the blinds will eat you.
So you will have to play more, much more after the flop.
Lets say you find a way to detect that your opponent at the turn only has 4 outs, and you push and get called. 4 outs is 11.5-1. A streak of losing 8 in a row of these is 1-27 million. With the number of pokerplayers in the world this happens every week. You will have to play a lot of hands to get 8 opportunities where your opponent has 4 outs, in which blinds will eat your stack, actually you will frequently have to reload during this period. And still you can risk having to reload 8-10 times due to suck-outs. This style can easily require 20-30 reloads just losing and never winning.
You can reduce variance with a tight aggressive style at lower levels, which is probably why TAGs are the ones often winning even if they make quite a few mistakes and it is so easy to cross the line from LAG to maniac.
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