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Old 06-05-2007, 06:45 PM
Buzz Buzz is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: L.A.
Posts: 3,633
Default Re: absolutely insane 20/40 game

Howzit – Wow. You have 24 outs falling into nine groups, as follows.
Qs
8s7s6s5s
QhQc
2s4s
5c5h
8h8d8c7h7d7c6h6d6c
9sTs
5d
Qd

Of these different groups, the five of diamonds is the most complicated. As simulated:<ul type="square"> 2497 scoops (wheel, no split, no flush)
6043 half (split with another wheel or flush)
25 third (split with two other wheels)
1373 quarter (lose to flush, split with wheel)
62 sixth (lose to flush, split with two wheels)[/list]
Qs scoops 100%
8s7s6s5s scoop 79.3%, get 3/4 19.8%, get 2/3 0.9%
QhQc scoop 79.7% get half 18.2%, get 1/3 2.1%
2s4s scoop 2.8% get half 94.6%, lose 2.6%
5c5h scoop 79.2%, get half 19.9%, get 1/3 0.9%
8h8d8c7h7d7c6h6d6c get half 79.2, get quarter 19.9%, get sixth 0.9%
9sTs scoop 49.3%, lose 50.7%
5d scoops 25.0% gets half 60.5%, gets third 0.2%, gets quarter 13.7%, gets sixth 0.6%
Qd scoops 25.3%, gets half 5.2%, 1/3 0.5%, loses 69%

I’m going to go play some poker now and will finish this sometime tonight.

Buzz
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