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Old 06-04-2007, 09:58 AM
Alex-db Alex-db is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: London
Posts: 447
Default Re: DS, god, and probability: the real brandi story

Assuming we can't work out which would be chosen, and chance of 2nd-guessing himself makes the choice effectively 50-50. And assuming devil's invention works perfectly.

So if he chooses naturally he gets either the (a) "80/20 deal etc" or (b) "magazine & venal sins"

Say he tosses an unbiased coin to choose instead:

1/4 same result (a)
1/4 (a) + "venal sins"

1/4 same result (b)
1/4 magazine only

These just need their utility priced up. Looks intuitively like choosing (not randomizing)just A is best here.
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