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Old 06-04-2007, 04:54 AM
Nate tha\\\' Great Nate tha\\\' Great is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2003
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Default Re: Bellagio Hand 2 3/6

Don't really like the plan that you formulated on the turn. I think the money that goes in on the river isn't going to be nearly as good for you as you think (assuming a non-pairing board card), as the hands that both bet and call a river raise may not outnumber the hands that 3-bet you and make you vomit. BTW, note that the turn completed not one but two straight draws, and I'm not sure if 98 can be discounted much if at all from the preflop play.

On the actual river, I like your play even less. Weak Ax hands may now check behind, and you're now hoping he has a straight, as I think you'll generally still see those hands raise and call a 3-bet but they'll probably just call down against a check-raise. You may also induce a desperation bluff-raise if he was floating you since your play looks kind of donkish.
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