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Old 06-02-2007, 06:10 AM
TheMadHeater TheMadHeater is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 194
Default Re: 200NL: Standard(ish) spot with Pair + Draw

I sometimes lead-bet all those cards. Sometimes checkraise the 6 or the 2h. Sometimes c/c the 2d. Most lines are okay here.

The 8 falling is the only tough spot I think. Villain sounds like he'd sometimes 2-barrel a four-straight board with air, but if you just c/c your 2 pair, you expose yourself to a huge river bluff or an epic value bet with 77. Leading probably prevents you from being bluffed, but also usually folds out the hands that you're beating. Even though you've been taking pots down w/o showdown, he probably wont call you with worse here because what hands do you c/c flop with and then bluff this turn? He'll be more likely to bluffraise you with AA than to call you down with it. So I don't know. I guess either c/f the turn if it's an 8, or c/c and get ready for a tough river decision.

Edited to note: I don't mean he's likely to bluffraise you with AA if you lead. Just that he's probably folding, and almost never calling.
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