Re: Prop bet time. I have an edge here right?
Typical standard deviation on ITM after 800 SNGS will be less than 2%. So he's got to figure out how to play with a "true" ITM of at least 55% to have any shot at an "observed" ITM of 60% after 800 (or at any point from 800-1000).
I've never played the super-duper-micro SNGs so I have no idea whether or not that's doable. I'm guessing it's not.
I think you have a gigantic edge at 4-1, unless there exists like a ten cent SNG on some site where everybody pushes AI on the first hand.
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