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Old 06-01-2007, 03:08 AM
Debaser Debaser is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 309
Default Re: 25NL Queens semi deep on low card flop oop

If you check to an aggroish player on this turn he's gonna bet a very high % of the time. Now it sounds stupid but the more he bets on the turn the more likely you are to have the best hand, even solid small stakes villains can't resist betting less than half pot with a monster, in this case a flopped set (now fh) or AA.

AA and KK might both 4-bet pf or raise the flop but both are obv. still possible and if he's got one of those hands he's played it well so far.

I'm checking here and seeing what he does, if he makes a 'please go away' full pot bet or a shove or something I'm getting it all in. If he checks then it's no big disaster, the only card you hate giving free cards to is AK and that seems unlikely with his flop call.

If he makes a halfish pot bet or smaller then I'd be seriously concerned about my hand, I'd probably call and see what he does on the river. I don't see how you can bet fold, there's $25 in the pot and you only have $30 left.
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