Re: Genius New Strategy
If losing to the vig is the worst case scenario, that already translates into a huge improvement over last season. At one point I calculated my expected value assuming all point spread bets were 50/50, and the amount I had actually lost made people question the efficacy of EV calculations themselves.
Realistically, this was probably hitting 35-40% of bets, on a sample size of around 70, so I won't claim to have a statistically soundproof theorm....but it's also unconvincing to think I just ran bad for the duration of NCAAF, NFL, and now MLB seasons.
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