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Old 05-31-2007, 05:52 AM
essence86 essence86 is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 96
Default Re: NL50: always those overpairs...

IŽd lead the flop a little stronger, at least $7. You are OOP.

He raises you on the flop. You say villain is TAG. What are his stats? This is kinda player/image dependant.
Why are you calling the flop after his raise? Are you planning on folding the turn if he bets strong?

Villain checks behind on the turn. Would he do this with a set or better? Unless villain is a really tricky player I very much doubt it. I really belive you have the best hand the majority of the time.

His check on the turn makes me belive he has maybe KJ or AJ, and uses some pot control.

As played, I would definetely call the river bet. You have shown weakness on almost all the streets. If you were him, wouldnt you belive your KJ or AJ was good here?

I would: 1. Re-raise him on the flop, commiting myself to the pot.

Or...
2. Call his re-raise, and hope to check-raise all-in on the turn, unless another J falls off

Or...

3. Put out a bet on the river here, maybe around $20 (blocker/value bet).
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