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Old 05-30-2007, 08:19 PM
riverboatking riverboatking is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: held down by the man
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Default Re: 300/600 river spot

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i think he has J4hh.


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actually i dont.
i think it is unlikely he just calls with a pair+flush draw on the turn as he's got to figure its unlikely you'll pay off a big bet if the heart comes, so most GOOD players won't call a PSB on the turn with the FD.

however its very possible he has a pair+straight draw figuring he can get some $$$ if he improves as well as bluff the flush if it hits.

so that leads me to believe that his turn call is either a made hand or a pair+straight draw, and makes me think he river lead is of the made hand variety since his line seems to have the least potential fold equity of any of his possible alternate lines.

therefore a push has marginal value as smaller two pair has to be considered part of his range, however of the made hands i think 34/set is way more likely so i would never push, and while i wouldn't be terribly suprised if i was beat your hand is too strong HU to fold.
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