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Old 05-30-2007, 04:36 PM
MLRTS MLRTS is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 35
Default Re: T7 hitting straight on river.

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I'd just call his raise unless he's terrible.

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What are you guys thinking? You know, SOMETIMES in poker it is OK to raise without the stone-cold nuts. Our hand can only lose to exactly q10. As long as it is equally likely villain DOESN"T have q10 as that he DOES, this would be an easy reraise (with a 50 percent coinflip and money already in the pot)Fact is it is MORE likely that he doesn't have q10. At least 60 percent. His range could include: 99, 89,A9, slowplayed 88, A4, AJ, and god knows what esle. Am i saying he wont show up alot with q10? absolutely not. But it wont be more than half the time, and thats why you want all your money in this pot.

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I don't see villain having two pair here a lot of the time. 2P and the river play does not compute with those stats. Can't really put him on much except a straight. He would probably raise 88, 99 pf.

Spin it around, what kind of a player bets A9 like this on river? He would have to be extremely stupid and the stats doesnt scream "idiot" to me.

Of course, this all depends on villain. I won't assume him
to be as bad as you seem to think he is.
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