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Old 05-30-2007, 03:53 PM
Kurn, son of Mogh Kurn, son of Mogh is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Rhode Island and Providence Plantations
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Default Re: 4/8 B&M; ATs huge flop (check-up)

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Anyone bet the river?

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Lets see.

What percentage of hands you beat call a bet on the river? This one's easy. Zero. Zip. Nada. Thus, no value bet.

Now how about a bluff?

Of the hands that beat you, do > 10% fold to one bet on the river? Sets and 2 pair won't fold for one more bet. TP hands might fold. Flush draws with a pair might fold. How many of those would this opponent 4-bet on the flop? The answer to that question tells you whether or not you can bet the river.
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