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  #36  
Old 05-30-2007, 01:46 PM
nath nath is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Tone
Posts: 22,162
Default Re: A further explanation of my red zone theory

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Now if I push KQs UTG 9-handed for 9xBB, it is about even. Pushing this hand UTG for 12xBB is cEV-, but pushing it UTG for 6xBB is very cEV+.

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See, I'll just go ahead and push it in with the 12xBB stack anyway, since to me I have a good hand and even though it might be technically -cEV because I'm putting a bigger stack at risk, the reward for doubling up if I get called is much more significant-- I'll have something like 26xBB which is a very useful stack size and gives me room to pick up pots in other ways and not have to shove my stack in for a while.

One thing to remember about pushing earlier that I point out to other people: If you get all in twice as a 60/40 favorite, you're only 36% to survive. If you push earlier in a spot where, say, you're 45% to win if called, a win will give you enough chips that you don't have to make that second push. So pushing slightly earlier as a slightly bigger underdog can actually increase your chances of survival long-term, dig?
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