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Old 05-30-2007, 11:19 AM
jstill jstill is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: downtown portsmouth
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Default Re: AJs hand (range/math problem)

well hes only getting 7 or 8:1 with ur overcall so its close/bad initially even if u never raise the turn donk with one pair. I dont know how much equity to give him 4-5 outs maybe? How often is the A good here? 1 out worth of equity? how often is the Q in one of his opponents hands should that only be 3?

Hes not quite getting the rite implied odds even if he always gets 2 bbs with the nuts on the river.

Since hes not closing the action the fold is clear, if the turn went ck ck bet call... hed probably have to call getting 8:1 but even thats close. The fact ur range here is KT 66 TT KK AA AK and KQ after the flop raise (even if he thinks ull always raise QJ or hearts on the flop) too much of ur range is raising here on the turn for his call to be +EV even w/ implied odds even if he could always ck and fold an A river correctly so that card had no reverse implied odds associated with it.
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