[Exitonly]

i took a shot at the ICM (but i just woke up).. i had to do it two different ways because i couldn't decide if i should use $0 as the 5th place payout or $1950... I THINK it's supposed to be $0, so the first number should be the correct one.

folding: 3,434
doubling: 4,760
losing: 0

folding:3710
doubling:4833
losing: 1950



(x * $4760) - (1-x * $0) = $3434
(x * $4833) - (1-x * $1950) = $3710



$4760x = $3434
x = $3434/$4760 = 72.14%

$4833x -$1950 + 1950x = 3710
$6873x = 5660
X = 5660/6873 = 82.35%


aka, we need 72% equity to breakeven on a shove here. so, fold a wide range of hands. (don't shove ATC) (edit: oops, i just assumed 0 fold equity, so, this isn't ... right)

edit edit:

OK, what i did, was figure out if CO never folds, so if he never folds to the shove, then we shouldnt be shoving a wide range at all (like,KK+), BUT now i'm going back and adding inthe fold equity variable, idoubt we have a whole lot, but it'll change it a bit.