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Old 05-25-2007, 02:41 PM
Soulman Soulman is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: On the FT bubble
Posts: 3,609
Default Re: ub bounty final table hand

Yeah, I just went into automatic 'calculate cEV-mode', ICM obviously plays a big part here.

Interesting side note: according to grafyx' math, the difference between cEV and $EV math here is about 7% if he opens 30% and calls 10% (need 67% FE for cEV and 74% for $EV).

If he opens wider and still only calls top 10%, that seems pretty exploitable. Don't know if he realizes that though, I've seen quite a few of those at FTs. Without a good read/previous hands, I'd probably put his calling range as wider than 10% if he opens much more than 30%, since he should know he'll be played back at.
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