Re: who\'s more likely to win the main event?
The pro.
Edit: the tougher the players, the more likely the pro wins. Against tourists, glasses has the edge.
Edit, redux:
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One of the greatest poker players who’s ever lived was named Stuey Unger [sp]. Unger was the only man to win the World Series of Poker three times. During his relatively short life (he died in his early forties) he entered thirty poker tournaments and won twelve of them. Even Tiger Woods doesn’t have a win ratio that high. One of the most famous stories about Unger occurred at the now demolished Aladdin Hotel in Las Vegas. Unger was playing Texas Hold ‘em in the card room, and realized he was being cheated by a peek. Unger didn’t see the peek; he just knew that one was in use, because his opponents were dropping out whenever Unger had strong cards. Rather than leave the game, Unger decided to play on. He knew he was being peeked, but decided that he was a strong enough player to still beat his opponents. When the night was over, Unger had won. While this is not a strategy I would recommend, it does show that even with an edge, the cheater can still get beaten by a superior player.
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