Thread: Iffy at Best?
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Old 05-23-2007, 10:50 AM
bbartlog bbartlog is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2006
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Default Re: Iffy at Best?

In a 4-handed game I don't think you can afford to discount the 2nd nut flush draw much. Also hero has top pair with a bunch of outs to make top two pair, and a gutshot for a straight, and a non-diamond queen to give him trips... of which only three are nut outs. Kind of an interesting problem: how much do I discount my grab bag of dirty outs just because my opponent 3-bet?
The turn call to my mind is actually more dubious than the flop call, since a low is now possible. Flop, you are paying two more SB to contend for a 13SB pot, with two cards to come and no low made; turn, you are paying one BB for a chance at 9.5BB, but with a low enabled and only one more card to come I think the odds actually look less good than they did before.
River seems like a super easy call. Opponents will have Q8xx, 84xx, A2Qx and so on often enough for you to be good here and even scoop some of the time.
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