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Old 05-17-2007, 06:52 PM
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Default Re: LimCash: Big hand but more bets?

Little analysis:
<table border="1" style="text-align:center; float: left;"><tr><td>Hand</td><td>Combos</td><td>Discounted for</td><td>EV c/r</td><td>EV c/c</td></tr><tr><td>AA</td><td>3</td><td>-</td><td>-3</td><td>-1</td></tr><tr><td>KK</td><td>5</td><td>Turn cap</td><td>1.75</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>QQ</td><td>3</td><td>Turn cap</td><td>1.70</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>JJ</td><td>1</td><td>Turn cap</td><td>1.6</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>TT</td><td>1</td><td>Turn cap</td><td>1.4</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>99</td><td>3</td><td>-</td><td>-2.9</td><td>-1</td></tr><tr><td>55</td><td>2.5</td><td>pf cap</td><td>2.5</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>33</td><td>1</td><td>pf cap and flop call</td><td>2.25</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>98</td><td>1</td><td>pf cap</td><td>2</td><td>1</td></tr><tr><td>76</td><td>2</td><td>pf cap</td><td>-3</td><td>-1</td></tr><tr><td>-</td><td>-</td><td>[b]Totals</td><td>.12</td><td>.37</td></tr></table>

I don't think this guy has Ah9h here. That wouldn't make the difference in any case. You may disagree with the discounting of EV for KK-TT for him folding the river but changing them all upward increases the EV to only .22. Even if we assume he always 3-bets sets as well, we're only to .29.
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