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Old 05-17-2007, 02:35 PM
Grunch Grunch is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 9,623
Default Re: 25NL - AKo easy PF question

[ QUOTE ]
75/41/3 - 12 hands

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.25 BB (6 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

SB ($6.31)
<font color="#C00000">BB ($26.69)</font>
UTG ($77.37)
MP ($23.80)
CO ($11.52)
Hero ($55.28)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls $0.25, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $2.25</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $7.35</font>, UTG folds, CO folds, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $10.20

Just want to check this really quick with you guys

[/ QUOTE ]

Ok, well I don't think the Deuces is calling every time, but w/e. Let's use your own equity assumptions:

[ QUOTE ]
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 48.059% 43.09% 04.97% 70831646 8168272.00 { AhKc }
Hand 1: 51.941% 46.97% 04.97% 77212994 8168272.00 { 22+, AQs+, KQs, AQo+ }

[/ QUOTE ]

When the action comes back to you there is 10.10 in the pot and you have 19.34 behind. The EV of a push is:

EV = (.48*29.44)-(.52*19.34) = 14.13-10.06 = +4.07

Which is a huge ammount of equity. Folding has an EV of zero by definition, so pushing is much better than folding.
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