[2461Badugi]

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I would lead this river and call a raise. I don't really want three bets to go in by default, although depending on the flow of the match I might be happy to put in four. In which case I'd still lead.

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i think 3-bets goes in less often than we think. Leading this river stops him from value betting hands like TT-KK. Plus it gets less value from lower sets/2pairs.

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I don't think there's any chance 33, 55, or a rivered two pair aren't raising us again. But I think the ace river plus all the action we've put in makes it really unlikely we're getting more than one bet out of a previous two pair or TT-KK, and we may get none. He'd have to be really daft to bet-call those.

We may get an extra bet out of a combo draw by checking, but I think a lot of one pair and bad two pair hands will be happy to either take a free showdown or give it up for a value bet-fold.