Re: NL50: OMG what a hand! Can I fold to the AI on the Flop?
There are 7 outs on the flop and 10 outs on the turn, so about 34pc to hit a boat or quads.
Just remember as a rule a flopped set has a third of a chance to hit a boat+ by the end.
Also your reasoning really didn't properly take into account draws, undersets etc, so... this is clearly a hand that is +EV to all-in on on the flop.
Think of it this way: given the bets and action and the hand ranges that others could have given their betting to that point, playing this hand a million times over and doing the AI each time will make you money.
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