Re: Knowing your math. Basic draws.
1 - Folding/shoving are both ok. Although an arguement can be made for calling if we plan bruffing diamond rivers (although I wouldn't usually, people never believe backdoored-hands, hence their inherent value).
3:1 on the call, we have like ~20% equity (9 outs once) - how much more would we need to win on the river for the turn call to be +EV?
2 - c/f and cr both have merit. The 3s is a relatively [censored] card to 2nd barrel on.
When he bets it's 43:25 = 1.72:1 to us. We have 4 nut outs which is around 15% equity (the trouble I am having here is assessing our overcad outs - assigning 6 more pure outs to our AQ here seems rather over-zealous).
3 - I like a flop check, seeing as though we didn't... I think a fold is good here; with two of our outs tainted I don't think we have as high implied odds if we hit to stack him.
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