Thread: AQo - Big pot
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Old 05-13-2007, 08:44 PM
voyamatarte voyamatarte is offline
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Join Date: May 2007
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Default Re: AQo - Big pot

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I check called on the turn in case my hand was best, but also because I had outs to 2 pair or trips if was behind.


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Just for me, as practice, let me try to calcuate some type of odds here. There are 3 aces or two queens possible, so a total possible of 5 outs. Now, with the button and UTG playing this far through to the river, is it safe to assume that at least one of them is holding Ax or Qx? If so, then I put your outs to 4 or 4.5. This means you have about a 10% chance to improve?

At the turn you are calling just one big bet to a pot of 9.5bb, for a 9.5 to 1 pay out if you hit an ace or queen. This alone would make this a bad call.

But, I think there is still a great chance that you have the best hand, looking at the board and the looseness of the table, so I agree with your play.

Did I analyze this correctly?
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