Re: 25/50 at bellagio AA on good board but really deep
I've only played in that game a few times but I mostly play the 10/20 at Bellagio.
Like you said, this is totally read dependant.
Another consideration: Are you studying the UTG+1 player? What does he look like he wants to do since you'd really really hate to call this bet and then have him do anything other than fold. His interest and reactions are almost as important as the CO who is betting IMO.
Usually the first tell is the most accurate one, especially if it's something that he did quickly and then did something after which is more prolonged, like leaning back and interlacing his fingers. I'd give more weight to the intitial chip glance here. That tell combined with any perceived interest from the UTG+1 player and I'm gonna lean towards folding.
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