Live $1/$2 NL: Do I bluff the river?
8-people at the table. I'm in the BB with 93o ($250). MP calls, CO calls, SB calls ($100), I check.
Flop: 678r ($8)
SB Checks. I bet $10(*). MP/CO fold. SB calls.
Turn: Q. ($28)
SB checks. I bet $20. SB calls.
River: 3. ($68)
SB checks. What do I do??
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(*) I don't normally semi-bluff into a multi-way pot, but I think my image is tight enough to pull this off, and the table is being pretty passive.
Background info: I have a tight/aggressive image. I have always bet with the best hand, and always shown down the winner. Unfortunately, SB is pretty new to the table, so he doesn't know that.
SB looks to be some sort of mechanic, wearing a Harley work-type shirt, grease under his fingernails. He bought in for $100. He has wrap-around sunglasses, but isn't wearing them. All of his calls have been quick.
What is his range? What are the odds he folds to a river bet -- and how much should it be?
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