[ski]

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everything until the trip to the carribean seems to be public information. i.e. your friend read it someplace.

if he gained insight in the carribean that others would ahve to work hard to get, then he has an advantage and that edge should be enough. just listing public reasons why crox are good isn't sufficient. if your friend (or you) believes in all of that info, and that it is not fully discounted in the price, then that too is reason enough to buy.

everything else is info that all participants have access to.

also, if you're friend (or you) were as sure about the temporary high as everything else, why not go short now?

Barron

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This may be a very complicated question but

How do you tell if something is "fully discounted in the price"?

I'm not sure if he is considering shorting it but he said he is considering rebuying stock in a little while after the price drops like he feels it will.