Re: maybe I talk too much
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surprised by all the love for raising the turn. I dont think the weak tight guy is going to fold a spade here -- any spades that he does have are weighted towards the bigger ones. I don't think he'll fold Qx, probably not Jx, maybe Tx. but if he has a big spade it's by far more likely to be the king or queen. and I dont think he can fold a good non-spade Ax hand if I just call. raising seems bad to me.
and I think I'm an underdog to SB. I think his bet is almost always 4x or a flush.
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I don't understand your point about the weak tight not folding to the turn raise. We just made a straight. Do we want to give a flush draw a free card? He makes the straight one time in 5 and beats us. Don't we want to collect a bet the other four times?
The sb is a poor player, could have anything, even aces up. A raise on the turn could get a free showdown if he has a small flush.
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