Re: Kentucky Derby
Street Sense tops my list as both the most likely winner as well as the best value in the race. I think Street Sense has a better than 25% chance of winning the race, and he will be 9-to-2 on Derby day (assuming the other heavies stay in).
I will focus my plays underneath on the Pletcher horses Any Given Saturday, Scat Daddy, and Circular Quay. I'd like Circular Quay a lot better if he didn't miss the Wood Memorial. He's been off for eight weeks.
Nobiz Like Shobiz also merits some respect; Curlin, to me, does not. He'll be a ridiculous underlay.
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