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Old 04-23-2007, 11:38 AM
yourface yourface is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 3,457
Default 99 facing heavy action from pf capper, call down or fold?

SB has TAG stats over a small sample 23/16
he just lost the last hand to a runner runner counterfiet of his 2pair, so tilt is a possibility. also he is sitting on a 5.5BB stack.

UTG is 61/6/1.7/retarded over 127 hands.

Poker Room skin
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $3/$6
4 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (4 players) hero is BB with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG calls, Button calls, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises</font>, <font color="#cc0000">hero 3-bets</font>, UTG calls, Button calls, <font color="#cc0000">SB caps</font>, hero calls, UTG calls, Button calls.

trying to pushout the limpers

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (12SB, 4 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">hero raises</font>, UTG calls, Button folds, <font color="#cc0000">SB 3-bets</font>, hero calls, UTG calls.

trying to protect my hand from the limpers. UTGs call can be any pair any draw or overcards.

Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (10.5BB, 3 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets</font>, hero folds

after he 3bet the flop 3way I was pretty sure I was drawing to 2 outs, so I peeled getting odds. it sucks to fold the turn here in such a huge pot. I am getting around 7:1 effective odds on a calldown. am I ahead 12.5% of the time here?
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