[Silent A]

I've been wondering for a while about this statistic because it seems to lend itself to relatively simple analysis in PLO.

In theory, since you're almost always getting at least 2:1 you'd think that the optimum value for this stat should be somewhere under 33%, perhaps as low as 25% or less.

However, in my data base, it's exceedingly rare to see numbers anywhere near this. In fact, mine is quite a bit above this and it makes me think that I should be calling a lot more than I am. In paricular, I'm thinking about those situations where a scare card hits on the turn after you've been pumping up the pot with the nuts. But I suppose there's also all those situations where someone beats at an orphan pot and you fold bottom 2 pair, or TPTK.

Any thoughts on this?

I should also add that this seems like a useful stat to exploit from your opponents, i.e. bluff the daylights out of players with numbers over 50% when scare cards hit.