Re: 25NL 6max QQ, str draw and high pair on the flop vs agression
with a moderately wide range that includes the trouble hands you have good equity:
Hand 0: 55.965% 52.16% 03.80% 55257 4026.50 { QdQs }
Hand 1: 44.035% 40.23% 03.80% 42620 4026.50 { 88+, AQs-AJs, KJs+, QTs+, J9s+, T9s, AQo-AJo, KJo+, QTo+, J9o+, T9o }
if you give him what pokerstove says is the top 9% of hands you're doing better:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 59.592% 56.92% 02.67% 46772 2194.50 { QdQs }
Hand 1: 40.408% 37.74% 02.67% 31009 2194.50 { 88+, ATs+, KTs+, QJs, AJo+, KQo }
but, his aggression factor is low so that it's an aggressive play. what hands would he play like that? if you give him only AA-QQ, sets, nut straight and two pair, you're toast:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.771% 34.41% 02.36% 19417 1333.00 { QdQs }
Hand 1: 63.229% 60.87% 02.36% 34347 1333.00 { 99+, KQs, J9s+, T9s, KQo, J9o+, T9o }
you're getting 9.1:3.25 so around 3:1 to at least call. break even immediate pot odds for the straight draw are 4.75:1, but you also have outs to a set... but he may be holding some of your outs or you might not draw to a winner. but you could also be winning if he just has the unlikely top pair.
what i usually do here is call and revaluate, but then i usually crai on a brick turn and lose to a better hand [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] haha. btw, i don't know what i'm doing with this pot odds stuff so if i messed up anything, i apologize, and please correct me.
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