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Old 04-19-2007, 02:10 AM
SirFelixCat SirFelixCat is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Texas
Posts: 2,173
Default Re: 50 NL; bottom set

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Villian is 16.3/10.87/3.00 over 92 hands.

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Seriously, we need to stop looking at our cards as much as we need to look at villains range here. AA and 77 are in that range, as are AK and AQ, AJs and thats about it. Is villain shoving TP to a reraise here? I'm not saying I'd fold, but our analysis should be more than overshove/call and include his range from that position AND his action post flop.

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If you run the numbers in Poker Stove, you see that your equity is greater than 80% with your range.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

32,670 games 0.005 secs 6,534,000 games/sec

Board: As 7d 2h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 80.376% 80.38% 00.00% 26259 0.00 { 2c2d }
Hand 1: 19.624% 19.62% 00.00% 6411 0.00 { AA, 77, AJs+, AQo+ }

How do you justify folding?
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