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Old 04-18-2007, 06:58 PM
Homer Homer is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2002
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Default Re: LA Dodgers @ Colorado 4/18

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the shift from colorado on the road to colorado at home would be 40 cents, not 20.

i don't mean to deride your analysis, but i think it's pretty standard for a sportsbook to factor most if not all of these things into their line.

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Yeah, I just assumed that everybody understood the Homefield figures. Guess I shoulda spelled it out for ya. Any homefield team gets about 20-30 cents on the line. Make appropriate adjustments as needed.

Colorado went from a +117 dog on the road to a +101 dog at home. So ya think Lowe is only 23 cents better than Tomko?

I think they missed this one though. Linesmakers don't always get it right...

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He's saying a shift from road to neutral field is 20c and a shift from neutral field to home is another 20c, so total from road to home is 40c.
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