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Old 04-17-2007, 03:59 PM
Deveroast78 Deveroast78 is offline
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Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 59
Default Re: A Note on Variance

They don't lie, at least not all the time. Selective memory is to blame, I would think. If you get all your money in with the best hand you are going to have an upswing more than 50% of the time HU. Except for the two spikes that shot up really fast and a couple that got in the red after a couple thousand hands, I don't see anything necessarily surprising here. Just a steady increase for the hero. The thing is they remember their bad beats more often than their wins, so it's more about posting and accentuating the positive things about your game. If you say "some donk felted me on pokerstars the other day" or "fish hit a two-outer on me last night" people are just going to think you are, in general, a losing player, even if you aren't.
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