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Old 04-16-2007, 09:17 PM
billxo1b billxo1b is offline
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Default Re: Blind defense with JTs, brilliant or retarded? (w/ ICM goodness)

so assuming you have no FE on flop, you are optimistic about your 75/25. Even aganst 66, you are only 55% favorite. you are 45% dog against AK. I guess you are at best 45% against his range {66+,ATs+,AJo,KQs}:

(2/3)*0.354 + (1/3)*(0.45*0.469+0.55*0.275) = 0.357

so it is worse than folding, right?
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