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Old 04-16-2007, 04:27 PM
jstill jstill is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: downtown portsmouth
Posts: 3,641
Default Re: another bad river bet-call

I bet this turn a ton vs standard villains it has alot of value vs worse drawing hands and gets a freeshowdown over 90% of the time. I mite not bet against a player I thought was really tricky or really aggro who i didnt mind checking behind and calling a blank river with an UI A hi tho (which miles does fall into the category of).

I bet this river against most crappy players becuz they ck call a ton of [censored] hands they should either bet fold or ck fold. Vs miles after he cr'd the turn I think Id ck behind and pass up some really thin perhaps non existent value (esp vs him since hes not ck calling Tx here very often). So when he cks its probably a missed draw hes folding or some oddly played PP hes now folding to ur bet, or hes sexying or u risk the cr bluff.

After u bet I think its a fold since he couldnt have been semi-bluffing the turn with AhXh (since u got it) and then check-raising some hand that u split with. I think if he was bluffing 87 or a worse fd hed be more apt to lead the river than check-raise bluff since u ck behind weak pairs u mite fold to a lead (or better drawing hands) and usually only vb hands u wont fold ( im guessing he has the read u dont like to fold for one bet vs showing down esp vs someone like him).

Calling isnt horrible tho (10:1 probably isnt enough to be +EV but its a small mistake at worst), its either nuts or nothin as gehrig said and from what I can tell Miles does get pretty wacky altho ive never played with him.
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