[TJO]

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Yes that's true. Villain has to call the bet with a worse hand more than 50% of the time to make betting profitable. It's not enough that we're ahead 50% of the time as I wrote. If he's the type that will call down w/ A-high or K-high then it's definitely a bet.

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Where the hey did you get that?

[/ QUOTE ]If villain only calls with hands that beat us then we shouldn't bet. Something like that. A weak LPP might not bet a pair of T or Q. I don't know which type of horrible SB is but I think it's correct to bet the river since SB will call you down with lots of weak holdings.