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Old 04-09-2007, 03:22 PM
My_Name_Is_Hov My_Name_Is_Hov is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 458
Default Re: Sports Statistics

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Most people who are into sports are casual fans and very results-oriented.

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So true. People have no concept of how huge variance is in sports. Even on this forum with people who should be smart & know poker, the Sporting Events forum is full of insane result-orientation. The reality is that two teams or two players could be nearly identical in true ability, but through variance one of them becomes a "clutch performer" and an all-time legend and the other becomes a "choker".

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reminds me of A-Rod.

I would be interested in seeing the numbers if you fliped a 30/70 coin representing a .300 batter with a 500 at bat sample size representing a full season. I bet if you took several different sets of numbers from that experiment the outcome would be pretty amazing.
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